I am not saying exactly that it will fail, but at some point it has to stop being at odds with the governments of the world. For as long as the idea of money has existed, the right to print it is part of the spoils of victory for whoever has conquered the land. Even though it is digital, crypto still requires electricity and infrastructure to exist, and some government somewhere must provide those services. But why should they do so when crypto saps away their right to print funny money forever? China has already digitized their currency and started to crack down on crypto. At some point, our slow and backward government will eventually catch up. Maybe we'll have fedcoin. Maybe they will tax the hell out of crypto. Point being, the complete lack of regulation we have now is too good to be true and too good to last for very long.
This is not advice to either buy or sell anything, just caution over uncertainty. And also I think that traditional technical analysis, which works with every other market in the world, doesn't seem to be very useful with bitcoin, because of dramatic and unpredictable moves in both directions.
Regulation is likely needed for Crypto to become more mainstream and the head of the SEC Gary Gensler is extremely bullish on crypto and BTC on particular.
So tired of people who don't understand and aren't on the crypto space talking about how fundamentals don't work in crypto. That simply just isn't true. I can show you countless posts on Twitter of very knowledgeable people in the crypto world who post chart fundamentals that end up giving 5-6-10x gains off of it.
The problem so many have is they try and apply the fundamentals in the SAME WAY as they do to everything else and don't bother to learn how crypto is different. Won't work. Never will. Then they cry that fundamentals don't work because they try and use them in the wrong way and can't comprehend why they aren't the same.
Fundamentals still hold 90% of the time. You can make a killing trading off solid fundamental knowledge.
Case in point a pro crypto trader with Twitter handle Rekt_Proof documented every single trade in taking a $500 account in 2 months and 41 trades turning it into a $125,000+ account. By using fundamentals. Just to see how quickly he could do it as a challenge to himself. Try doing that in any other market. Not happening.
Yeah, there are going to be things that happen that cause crashes and big run ups. Trade with a stop loss and reap the rewards. Crashes are great times to buy because in cases like today when it wasn't based on fundamentals bit simply a chain reaction of liquidated longs with too much leverage, it's bouncing right back. Easy gains for anyone paying attention and buying near the bottom.
When you are in the market, these things don't bother you, you actually live for them. Can make a huge gain in your portfolio if you are set up properly to take advantage of these things.
People outside of crypto just don't get it and are afraid of it. People in it use it to get rich 50x faster than any other method.