Solomon
Master Don Juan
I think from now until the halving it will be a frenzy(I agree with you there be a massive dump coming soon maybe after January or february who knows). You have people who are totally losing it on social media talking about 500K btc heck I was watching a youtuber who is usually calm, just being overflooded with emotions. which caught me of guard cause usually he's a level-headed guy.You shouldn't obsess over a particular alt doing well in a given period of time before the halving, true bull run, etc. In 2019 LTC and Bcash pumped hard into the summer of that year while ETH underperformed compared to the rest of the market. You can see in 2021 ETH went on an absolute tear, while the former 2 honestly lagged quite heavily.
The FOMO right now is insane with all of this ETF stuff and I can't help but feel there will be a very sizeable correction sometime within the next few months before the halving. Perhaps "this time is different" but when the market is this heated it would be healthy and normal for this to occur.
I agree with the rest of your statement though. Through late 2020 and 2021 I mostly just chilled and sat back on my investments, I added a bit here and there but it wasn't very aggressive. I started reaccumulating in 2022 but the 2nd half of that year I definitely increased the intensity. I chilled through the spring of this year when the market was running hot but the summer through fall of this year I loaded up heavily. I've been sitting back for almost 2 months now and just waiting to see what happens, hoping to be able to reload on some discounts but also not worried if it doesn't happen.
It just confirms that this Bear market has been brutal and people can smell something big is brewing. I'm just putting myself in the position where if the market pumps, I'm taking profit if it dumps I'm buying. It's a win win!