OK so you are asking about the benefits of marriage. I will do my best to list a few that are from my perspective the reasons why I could see myself getting married very far in the future and why I think my risk is much lower than 50%.
1) Kids who have parents that are continuously married do better in all metrics of life not only as a child BUT UP TO 40 years old!
https://www.aei.org/wp-content/uplo...ng-at-each-life-stage-by-family-structure.jpg
If you want to reproduce one day (I certainly do) then your choice of family structure decides your child(ren)'s entire future. Children from continuously married families are 15-25% ahead of their peers who have parents that divorced. Children from continuously married families
are 28-39% ahead of their peers who have parents that never married.
2) In calculating risks you don't judge yourself by the rate. You find where you fall in the statistics.
http://media.economist.com/sites/default/files/cf_images/20070526/CFB217.gif
http://cdn.theatlantic.com/static/coma/images/issues/200703/primarydivorce.gif
http://thesocietypages.org/socimages/files/2011/05/trends.jpg
http://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2013/images/ted_20131108.png
For those who at least finished college (not counting community college associate degrees or diplomas) the divorce rate was halved for men and women, to where most sources say around 20% or less of men who have a bachelor's or higher get divorced.
I fall into that category so automatically my divorce rate falls from the 40's and 50's to let's say about 20 something percent.
"According to research at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, one of the clearest predictors of whether wedding vows will stick is the age of the people saying them. Take the '80s:
a full 81% of college graduates who got hitched in that decade at age 26 or older were still married 20 years later."
3) Race is a factor.
"Once education was factored in, the NCFMR found, with the exception of Asians, the highest rate of first divorce was among women with some college
(this is including community college), regardless of race or ethnicity."
"Some college includes the associate degrees and community college goers. The same article goes on to say Among white women, there were few differences according to education, but those with a college degree
(this isn't) experienced lower divorce rates than any other education group,” Manning said. “These findings showcase that the association between education and divorce differs for racial and ethnic groups, and it is important to consider this variation.”
Asian women (yes Americanized Asian women not FOBs) have the lowest divorce rate overall and white women who have college degrees have a lower divorce rate than white women of any educational group. Interracial couples of all kinds have a higher rate of divorce than White-White marriages with Asian Female-White Male having only a 4% increase from the white-white.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interr...ility_among_interracial_and_same-race_couples
I reduce my chances of divorce again if I marry white or asian. Fine.
4) Income and location matters
From
http://www.newgeography.com/content/002203-divorce-and-demographics-state
"The chart produces interesting find: states with a high level of bachelor degree attainment (27.5% of the population or higher) also have relatively low divorce rates (lower than 9.9%). States such as California, Hawaii, Minnesota, Illinois, and much of the Northeast fit this profile."
Looks to the location under my name (U.S. East) and I have a bachelor's degree so according to this chart
http://www.newgeography.com/files/jl-educ.png
My divorce chance is pretty low.
"The chart pitting divorce against average income also reveals a disparity between regions—the higher the household makes annually, the less likely the couple inhabiting it is to be divorced. States such as New Jersey, Hawaii, Connecticut and Massachusetts can all be located here. Meanwhile, households in states with lower incomes (such as states in the South) seem to possess higher rates of divorce. The trend seems to put the Northeast in opposition to the Southeast and the Rust Belt."
I'm in the Northeast, and my career path gives me a projected income of low 6 six figures at minimum.
5) My parent's country of origin has a divorce rate of less than 20%. The divorce rate there is about 10-20% depending on the source. If I marry someone from the same culture I lower my chances of divorce. My father has 8 siblings, my mother also 7, yet among all of their families, all of my cousins marriages, etc. I only know of ONE divorce. And yes, all of the men are married by 35. This is especially good for me since studies have shown divorce is "contagious" among family and friends. "http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2013/10/21/is-divorce-contagious/"
6) Obesity and Overweightness affects marriage quality, stability, and divorce rates.
http://online.liebertpub.com/doi/abs/10.1089/bar.2008.9976
Changes in sexual intimacy and beliefs about the stability of the relationship and risk of divorce after WLS are also common concerns. Overall, research suggests that WLS patients report improvements in relationship satisfaction and weight-related sexual quality of life after surgery, while experiencing minimal disruption to their marital relationships. Finally, suggestions are made for providers working with WLS patients on their relationship issues. These suggestions pertain to communication, the importance of accurate information, recruiting support, and obtaining psychological counseling when needed.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1499810/pdf/bmjcred00630-0041.pdf
"A recent study,2 however, found that on the whole marriages were improved by correcting obesity. In this study, however, the morbidly obese had more Cook County Hospital, Chicago, Illinois, USA
GEORGE DUNEA, FRCP, FRCPED, attending physician unhappy marriages to begin with, and among this group there was a high postoperative divorce rate, thought to reflect the liberation of previously unhappy spouses who had put up with the marriage because of physical or psychological handicaps.2"
So I'm not morbidly obese. I'm not even overweight. I'm in the best shape of my life. That means my overall relationship stability, quality and sexual quality are all looking very good.
7) Although I don't have hard evidence for this, I am assuming a large number of people married have no game, no frame, no charm, are overweight, etc. By working on this aspect by taking what I've learned both on this website from various posters and select advice from manosphere greats.Girls laugh when I want them to, turn sexual when I want them to, so I at least have some social graces.
8) Why do I WANT to get married eventually? Point 1 is one example. I want to have kids and spread my seed. And I also want to raise them personally in a family structure that has been shown time and time again through empirical and anecdotal evidence, to raise the most successful men and women across pretty much all societies.
The benefits of long term relationships can go beyond the few legal benefits we get.
In many of my friends with successful LTR's cases the women were like personal secretaries who made sh!t run smoothly for their man. They desired sex with their man and helped the men succeed in their ambitions. They both also had many of the points I listed above (from the same race/culture, highly educated, with family histories of no divorce. (they both come from cultures with sub 10% divorce rates).
I know some people like the variety argument and it has its merits but even if I went the variety route, at one point I wouldn't mind marrying a high quality woman.
9) In conclusion my assessing my own risks based on a variety of factors backed with research (with the exception of point 1 which was a benefit of marriage not a risk factor, and the exception of point 8 which is explaining why I want to get married., my divorce rate is nowhere near 50%. Most risk factors put me below 20%, and considering I check off multiple of these factors while supplementing myself with game and knowledge of how the world and sexual market place works from the manosphere/Sosuave, my divorce rate is probably below even that.
Every person decides if the risk is worth the reward and judging by my own personal risk and reward I am fine with entering LTR's and even marriage in the far future.
Looking at the crude divorce rate of the U.S. and saying 50% plus marriages fail is a terrible argument. That sh!t includes vegas weddings, shotgun weddings, uneducated people marrying, poor people marrying, beta bucks marrying, promiscuous women marrying, a mismatch of race/religion/culture, 2nd, 3rd, 4th marriages etc, etc. YOU have to find where YOU fit in that average. Are you above it, equal to it, below it? If so why? Can I change any of these factors to improve my chances? How should I go about doing so?
Averages are good for average people. The average American man and women are overweight/obese. Yet I see you Tenacity on Health and Fitness with a decent physique that you are working on making even better. The average American man goes into marriage blind. You Tenacity have had the advantage of knowing how women work in this society. Those are only a few of the things where you fall above the average Tenacity. Who knows what other factors you have going in your favor? And if you have factors going against you (maybe financial, or where you live), is that not something that is malleable and something you can reduce?
Then to look at all of that and then say you won't marry because the crude divorce rate is 53% is being dishonest.