In my 30s, I gained the wisdom to realize that I wouldn't beat the odds on marriage. None of my relationships had gotten close to marriage but then I realized that marriage only works for a small percentage of people.
You're exactly correct that marriage has only about a 20% success rate. In 80% of marriage, AT LEAST ONE of the following 3 things will happen
- Divorce
- Affair
- Ongoing mediocre to subpar, soul killing relationship with minimal amounts of sex
Do you know when these 3 things tend to arise? When the relationship is more than 5 years old. The median marriage that fails has a duration of 7 years. If you add in the median amount of pre-marital time (around 3 years), you're talking about relationships typically failing around 10 years. The fat part of the bell curve (within 1 standard deviation of the mean) of total relationship duration (pre-marital + marriage relationship) in a marriage that fails is likely 7-14 years.
Knowing when relationships fail has made me believe that relationships have a shelf life of goodness of 5 years. I expect relationships to fail. I limit my downside risk. I have no kids and no failed marriages. Some might say that I have less baggage. That might be true. However, I've had trauma from "one date, no sex, no second date" type interaction, ghosting/flaking on apps, failed relationships, etc. I have made efforts to heal from this trauma.
You had a good run in your teens and early 20s, which is better than many. You're still getting women. That's good.
As I said above, the vast majority of relationships fail. You need to alter your expectations. Stop living in a Disney fantasy.
You had a 10 year relationship. That's an achievement. So was the 3 year long one. You can say that you've had LTRs. There are some men out there that can't say that.
I'm an introvert with no family in my area. It isn't easy. I have friends, but none of my local friendships are strong right now. We're in a similar place emotionally.
Unattached or marginally attached men in their mid 30s to mid 40s are not welcomed strongly in a lot of social circles. Most social circles are run by established couples. They tend to spend time with other established couples.
Being an introvert doesn't mean that you have to do swipe apps. Swipe apps are bad. You've actually done better than many with swipe apps. That could be a point of pride for you. Introverts can make in-person approaches in non-bar venues if they don't like bars. It would be possible for you to do mainly outdoor approaches (the best pandemic era strategy) or even approaches in gyms or grocery stores. Grocery stores still have a decent amount of masking going on, which is an obstacle.
You need to alter your expectations. If you want to get your dicck wet, you're going to need to participate in the mating environment in some way.