Crypto trading

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BackInTheGame78

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You are American no? How do you expect things to play out in the coming week with the fed? I'm expecting more pain but got dry powder on the side.
Not well. Market is on the verge of a crash so unless the news is amazing I expect it follows through. I expect the big moves to be made ahead of it tho, Monday and Tuesday.
 

BackInTheGame78

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Timing the bottom or top is begging to get wrecked. DCA. I am expecting more pain. I hold. I accumulate. I don't trade or leverage. My goals aren't your goals. If you got dry powder on the side, it doesn't matter. You are good. Not investment advice.

Your bank gives nothing and takes. I am banking on what i buy appreciating MORE than my bank or under my matress. With that in mind, I already won.

Sol looks rug pulled. Everything does a this point BUT when VCs own absurd amounts is to be expected.
Can't time the exact top or bottom but you can get in the ballpark pretty easily following what I just posted. At least for local top/bottoms, which is all I need to make a lot of money trading perpetual future contracts. Just did it again with $ATOM at a local top. 3 straight long wicks on the 4HR chart that didn't progress price further = price drop incoming. Shorted at around $33.50, now around $31.50 and dropping. Currently about 4K in profit on my short and it should continue to go down.

Starting to believe that holding no real tokens and just trading contracts is the smarter play. Not tied to anything, can be fluid and play both sides of the market with no real worries.
 
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BackInTheGame78

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How do you know when to short and when to go long?

You could end up in a world of **** trying to second guess that.

In fact, it’s almost impossible that you can time the market. There’s about 100 years worth of evidence to back that up!

You were predicting £100K BTC before the end of the year, which didn’t happen. I presume you changed your mind, shorted (without telling us) and now are reaping the rewards. Congratulations! Next time let us know when you’re calling bottom and top and we can all get our money on the right side of the trade .
Read my response to your other post as to how I identify local tops/bottoms. Again...with future contracts I am more interested in identifying local tops/bottoms than macro top/bottoms, although that is helpful in knowing if you are in an uptrend/downtrend in the market.

I simply go with what the chart tells me is going to happen. I, along with many others were wrong. Won't be the first time or the last time. Got caught out there just like a lot of other people did. The world economy basically tanked...nothing is immune to that. Lesson learned. Still profitable and have switched focus to trading futures contracts versus actually owning crypto itself. Less worry, more fluidity.
 
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BackInTheGame78

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MACD is the sensitivity of a bonds price to an interest rate rise. Not sure how that would work on a token.
It is an indicator that is showing the EMA 26 versus the EMA 12. If it is above 0 and the lines cross positive it is bullish. If it is under 0 and the lines cross negative it is bearish. Under 0 and crossing positive is a weak bullish sign in a larger bearish downtrend, same as a negative cross above 0...weak bearish trend in a larger bullish uptrend.

Usually look for volume confirmation as well. True moves are usually marked by large volume spikes. These are easily identified as vector candles when using the Traders Reality indicator.
 
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Bingo-Player

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May have to pick your brain on shorting markets. Never put the time in to learn how to responsibly do it.
the only way to do it reponsibly is to set a stop loss on the upward movement but this usually means your losses will compound , shorting is risky in normal markets let alone crypto markets which are completely illogical

Market can stay irrational longer than most retail shooters can stay solvent
 

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A buddy of mine is now joining a lawsuit against robin hood. Apparently they dont actually execute your trades, they just tell you they did. He had several options positions that ran so far into the money, robin hood just deleted them and pretended they never existed. He turned 1k into 30k and got nothing from them.
 

BackInTheGame78

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A buddy of mine is now joining a lawsuit against robin hood. Apparently they dont actually execute your trades, they just tell you they did. He had several options positions that ran so far into the money, robin hood just deleted them and pretended they never existed. He turned 1k into 30k and got nothing from them.
That's why you don't trade crypto on those type of exchanges.
 

Who Dares Win

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A buddy of mine is now joining a lawsuit against robin hood. Apparently they dont actually execute your trades, they just tell you they did. He had several options positions that ran so far into the money, robin hood just deleted them and pretended they never existed. He turned 1k into 30k and got nothing from them.
They are not a reliable medium for trading, lets just remember when they prevented traders to operate only cause the kids from wsb decided to long game stop and amc with the purpose of squeezing the shorts from certain banks.
 

jaygreenb

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the only way to do it reponsibly is to set a stop loss on the upward movement but this usually means your losses will compound , shorting is risky in normal markets let alone crypto markets which are completely illogical

Market can stay irrational longer than most retail shooters can stay solvent
It's a little different in crypto, your collateral gets liquidated when you get too far out of range, unless you put up more collateral your position gets closed out. The higher the leverage the less room you have for percentage moves.
 

BackInTheGame78

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From an AM background thats a weird definition of MACD.

Macaulay duration is the time taken for the present value of cash flows to equal the current price. Modified duration simplifies this to a prediction of price movements given a change in interest rate .

EMAs don’t usually relate to things like MACD, but crypto is another beast.
That's not what MACD stands for. It's Moving Average Convergence/Divergence
 

jaygreenb

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It's not really that hard, you'd probably pick it up after 2 or 3 trades....most important thing is setting a stop loss
So say at some point I though we were going to be in a long term downtrend. Would it make sense to open a short and leave it open, with no or minimal leverage for an extended period, say 6months? Or would the funding rate be too costly and eat up the returns
 

BackInTheGame78

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So say at some point I though we were going to be in a long term downtrend. Would it make sense to open a short and leave it open, with no or minimal leverage for an extended period, say 6months? Or would the funding rate be too costly and eat up the returns
Well...you could do that, but it might make more sense to close it on upticks and then reopen it on small bounces
 

DEEZEDBRAH

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Not well. Market is on the verge of a crash so unless the news is amazing I expect it follows through. I expect the big moves to be made ahead of it tho, Monday and Tuesday.
It's why I think DCAing is the play. I've been watching on the sidelines. No clue what the play is. Definitely not a 2022 I intended BUT dry powder is on the side ready. Let's go!
 

If you currently have too many women chasing you, calling you, harassing you, knocking on your door at 2 o'clock in the morning... then I have the simple solution for you.

Just read my free ebook 22 Rules for Massive Success With Women and do the opposite of what I recommend.

This will quickly drive all women away from you.

And you will be able to relax and to live your life in peace and quiet.

DEEZEDBRAH

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Can't time the exact top or bottom but you can get in the ballpark pretty easily following what I just posted. At least for local top/bottoms, which is all I need to make a lot of money trading perpetual future contracts. Just did it again with $ATOM at a local top. 3 straight long wicks on the 4HR chart that didn't progress price further = price drop incoming. Shorted at around $33.50, now around $31.50 and dropping. Currently about 4K in profit on my short and it should continue to go down.

Starting to believe that holding no real tokens and just trading contracts is the smarter play. Not tied to anything, can be fluid and play both sides of the market with no real worries.
Sol is getting raped and eth is Takinga pounding buy that sweet bounce is on with 2.0. Seems like btc is the safest play especially if not moving out short term.

The psychology is insane. You got to be nutty weathering the storm. I can stomach the crash. Not my 1st rodeo. It's shorting and playing with leverage that I won't **** with. You seem to be crushing it. Good on you. Are there anything you are looking to scoop? Everything is on discount.
 

BackInTheGame78

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Sol is getting raped and eth is Takinga pounding buy that sweet bounce is on with 2.0. Seems like btc is the safest play especially if not moving out short term.

The psychology is insane. You got to be nutty weathering the storm. I can stomach the crash. Not my 1st rodeo. It's shorting and playing with leverage that I won't **** with. You seem to be crushing it. Good on you. Are there anything you are looking to scoop? Everything is on discount.
Honestly starting to feel like just trading contracts is the move. No worries about wallets getting hacked, crypto getting stolen, etc...

No ties to any crypto, makes me more fluid.
 

DEEZEDBRAH

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Honestly starting to feel like just trading contracts is the move. No worries about wallets getting hacked, crypto getting stolen, etc...

No ties to any crypto, makes me more fluid.
It's kind of scary. Even crypto.com got hacked and finally admitted it. I like the idea of being my own financial custodian. The future is dangerous with super computers and quantum computing.
 

jaygreenb

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It's why I think DCAing is the play. I've been watching on the sidelines. No clue what the play is. Definitely not a 2022 I intended BUT dry powder is on the side ready. Let's go!
You got the right idea. I have seen the majority of people have the most success with this strategy, very few have the skill and emotional discipline to beat it. Key being to keep it on when it feels like its going to zero.
 
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