Where are the bitcoin lovers now?

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That is what I thought, just a legit coward. All talk, no action. Putting you on ignore, not addressing this anymore.
It’s not ignore worthy to have a contradiction, and I am simply looking for a reason as to why someone would operate with such secrecy when my understanding from prior posts is that this poster has cold storage. I can live with myself in how I interacted here, if anyone wants to dispute that I am open to it.
 

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An interesting thought I saw raised on another forum is that cold storage owners should be excited about this, because it would increase their supply of other coins, and if the funds opt to push into those, they’re going to make money there as well.

I like the thought process if nothing else.
 

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Bullish structure on the daily intact, tweezer bottom, should push higher.
Sold to you. Could run maybe up another 10k, but likely lose another 30k from there into the 70’s.

Longer term is a cup and handle, but all good breakouts have a pullback and this will be no different.


IMG_1347.png
 

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The Chinese issued the most debt today in a single offering in their history, 3 Trillion yuan, and importantly they did so with their 1 year rate under 1%. They haven’t issued debt under 1% since Lehman brothers collapse. After the offering, Chinese interest rates did not move.

There is a tremendous amount of central bank bond buying coming, as the US and Chinese begin to ramp up currency wars both responsively from American protectionism and also the cost of American debt service becoming unmanageable at current levels. China meanwhile is in a deflationary spiral and has major capacity to accept more monetary expansion which is being immediately deployed directly into public pockets via direct stimulus and ‘capital investment.’

Bitcoin had a good run against bonds / defacto the dollar. That’s over. IMG_1348.png
 

BackInTheGame78

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Sold to you. Could run maybe up another 10k, but likely lose another 30k from there into the 70’s.

Longer term is a cup and handle, but all good breakouts have a pullback and this will be no different.


View attachment 13677
Of course there is going to be a pullback at some point...could even give a double top, but in terms of structure as it sits now, based on what it "should do", it should create a new high.
 

Bible_Belt

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The elephant in the room is the over valued stock market. The recent run up over the potential of AI has a lot of parallels to the dot com boom of 2000. No one knows what crypto does when the stock market crashes, because it didn't exist during previous crashes. But eventually we're going to find out.
 

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The elephant in the room is the over valued stock market. The recent run up over the potential of AI has a lot of parallels to the dot com boom of 2000. No one knows what crypto does when the stock market crashes, because it didn't exist during previous crashes. But eventually we're going to find out.
Bitcoin and the us markets are analogous

The better question is, given the correlation, the spread is way too tight. It would imply that in a short period, something between stocks pulling back and bitcoin taking off is likely

IMG_1389.png

Viewed another way:

IMG_1390.png
 

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jaygreenb

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The elephant in the room is the over valued stock market. The recent run up over the potential of AI has a lot of parallels to the dot com boom of 2000. No one knows what crypto does when the stock market crashes, because it didn't exist during previous crashes. But eventually we're going to find out.
"CRYPTO" and bitcoin are two completely different topics and assets with different attributes. Most of crypto will get washed out like every cycle. Short time price action with Bitcoin is just noise, an economic collapse wouldn't change long term trajectory. It may even speed up adoption. A lot of the stock market "overvaluation" is just devaluation of the numerator (USD) through monetary expansion. Hard to quantify too exactly what degree but majority of stock market gains outside of a handful mirrored expansion rate.
 

Bible_Belt

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an economic collapse wouldn't change long term trajectory. It may even speed up adoption.
That is a bold statement. I don't think I agree, but there is no way of telling the future for certain. I would think of bitcoin as a luxury asset, like a jet ski. It's fun when you have the money, but the first thing you sell when your fortune reverses, like having to pay margin calls on plummeting stocks.
 

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I remember when Bitcoin was all anyone could talk about, especially a few months ago when it seemed like it was just going to keep climbing. I even tried mining a little back when things were looking good, but now with the price dropping and the cost of mining getting way higher, it feels like a lot of people, including some I know, are quietly backing out. I still think the tech behind it has potential, but as for Bitcoin itself, it's hard to say if it can keep up with the market like it used to.
 

jaygreenb

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That is a bold statement. I don't think I agree, but there is no way of telling the future for certain. I would think of bitcoin as a luxury asset, like a jet ski. It's fun when you have the money, but the first thing you sell when your fortune reverses, like having to pay margin calls on plummeting stocks.
I strongly disagree with the luxury asset allocation at this point, if anything think there is a rapidly growing group that view it as insurance to the current system and where the financial system is headed. It has crossed the chasm into a legitimate assets class, the US govt is about to add it to their strategic reserve. Not sure what else you need to see to be convinced at this point, every domino is falling that needs to. Bitcoin is probably the last thing I own that I would sell if I needed to quick liquidity in a bind, but that is anecdotal. The people who own and understand this asset have strong conviction in it and the majority isn't small money retail who are just tourists like the rest of crypto. What happens if there is collapse is of course just a best guess, as always, time will tell.

I remember when Bitcoin was all anyone could talk about, especially a few months ago when it seemed like it was just going to keep climbing. I even tried mining a little back when things were looking good, but now with the price dropping and the cost of mining getting way higher, it feels like a lot of people, including some I know, are quietly backing out. I still think the tech behind it has potential, but as for Bitcoin itself, it's hard to say if it can keep up with the market like it used to.
This is such a ridiculous take and observation lol
 

BackInTheGame78

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I remember when Bitcoin was all anyone could talk about, especially a few months ago when it seemed like it was just going to keep climbing. I even tried mining a little back when things were looking good, but now with the price dropping and the cost of mining getting way higher, it feels like a lot of people, including some I know, are quietly backing out. I still think the tech behind it has potential, but as for Bitcoin itself, it's hard to say if it can keep up with the market like it used to.
And it's being more and more adopted by institutions and corporations and banks and governments. Even if it is behind the scenes.

Retail is meaningless. The people with the real money are the ones driving it just like they do the stock market, forex and commodities.
 
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