So in the end..... Falcons 24 Pats 17 in the SUPERBOWL.
Here's why the Pats will beat the Steelers:
Ben Roethlisberger just had one of his worst games, AND is still nursing an injured thumb.
The Patriots are masters at confusing even veteran QBs with blitzes and fake-blitzes. QBs have a 75.2 rating against the Patriots. In addition, Roethlisberger is a play-action passer and the Pats always do well against these types of QBs. He also loves going deep off play-action passes.... I look for the Patriots to drop back into zones. Remember....they dropped nine players back to beat Manning.
The Pats will test Willie Williams who is starting ahead of Chad Scott. He's only 5 foot 9.
The Patriots have been successful all year, even with an injured secondary.
The Patriots have the better kicker.
The last time these two faced each other, the Steelers won 34-20. However, that was the only game Corey Dillon missed all year. They only ran six times that game for five yards! That forced Brady to throw the ball 45 times.
The Steelers run the ball many MANY times per game. Look for the Patriots to have eight or nine guys in the box (that's how the Jets almost shutdown their offense). Don't forget, they have one of the best linebacking corp in the NFL: Vrabel, McGinest, Johnson, and Bruschi.
The Steelers don't have a good TD percentage in the Red Zone.
Here's why the Patriots will beat the Falcons:
The Pats allowed only 98.3 yards rushing during the season.
The Pats, as I said before, have one of the best linebacking corp in the NFL. Nothing like what the Falcons seen against the Rams.
Vick has been sacked 46 times in 2004. That's almost one sack per eight dropbacks.
The Falcons lose when Vick passes poorly....not just when he doesn't run. He has a QB rating of 48.0 when the lose and 88.7 when they win. If you make him pass over 20 times, he is 48.8%.
Vick is much worse in the second half. That might be critical if the game is close.