kneg /
cordoncordon said:
I have no doubt Ill have Another would have won had he raced and was healthy. Race set up great for him.
I have a hard time believing they scratch a horse that could be granted racing immortality by winning unless he really was lame. Not sure how many horses before the race the horses had to be in the detention barn, I'm guessing 72? But if they had wanted to give him his shock therapy or some kind of nerve block, they could have done so a few days before the race and been ok. Horses usually feel the best effect from Shock therapy a few days after it is done anyway.
My guess he was starting to bow, and they said rather than take a chance where the horsereaks down and they need to euthanize him, they took for the for sure breeding money. BTW, imo the odds of him breaking down during a race from a bow are not high. They will come out of the race lame if it goes, but it won't be a catastrophic injury.
horse racing / stallion politics. a horse that is injuried before he can run in the belmont and win the triple crown is worth a lot more at stud than a horse that ran in and lost the last leg of the triple crown. in other words, assuming doug knew beyond a shadow of a doubt the horse was not going to be himself his value was never going to be higher in his career than the the three weeks between the preakness / bemont.
perfect example, take smarty jones and big brown. both have pretty pedestrain pedigrees, at least at the time it was thought so smarty jones was by a sire named elusive quality who at the time was a new sire from australia though he ran in the US and no one really new anything about him but it turned m out he was a great sire. he is also the sire of quality road who would have been odds on had he ran in the mine that bird derby but had a quarter crack, and he sired ravens pass who won the 08 breeders cup classic at santa anita. anyway my point is, at the time smarty joneswas racing elusive quality was a 10k sire ("now it's about 80k).
anyway none of that is really importtant i am just trying to establish that t the time neither had world class pedigrees. smarty jones was undefeated going into the derby, won the derby won the preakness. the morning of the belmont they sold half of smarty jones to three chimney's farm for 19 million dollars and kept the other half. he ran in the belmont and came in 2nd that was his last race, but his stud de hl was already done before the belmont. the first year at stud they were charging 100k per live foal.
big brown, was undefeated going into the derby, won, was undefeated going into the belmont, came in last in the belmont. however big brown ran 2more times and won both races, but he was clearly not the same horse (steriods), he wasn't demolishing horses anymore. he retired in october right before the classic and had no stud deal in place.
the same farm that bought smarty jones bought big brown.. in the neighboorhood of 22 million for the entire horse though i'm not sure on the exacts. I do know the exact price per live foal becuase i called TC myself beucase i was interested in him, it was 65k.. 35% less than smarty jones.
and ****, big brown had a grade 1 win going into the derby the florida derby. smarty jones won the arkansas derby which at the time was not a grade 1.
so my piont is, you want your deal done before the belmont if you cang et it. if not you better be damn sure you are going to win it. that is why he was scratched.