Betting on Brexit

BeTheChange

Master Don Juan
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Any of my fellow sosuavers with a background in finance or tendency towards trading know a way that I can gain some serious exposure to brexit?

I'm of the belief that people despise uncertainty and so the UK will never vote to leave. Most bookies are putting the odds of a Brexit at 30% but putting down serious capital to gain back only 30% doesn't sound that appealing.
 

Tamura

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If you reference the bookkeepers, than you should stick with them and place a bet with them.

What you expect to hear? There are no serious businesses offering a 30% gamble. Everybody in the finance sector knows, that a Brexit would cause havoc on London.
 

Huffman

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He wants to hear the secret wisdom of random guys on the internet, instead of sticking with maths and common sense - a common fallacy in investing.
 

Who Dares Win

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If you reference the bookkeepers, than you should stick with them and place a bet with them.

What you expect to hear? There are no serious businesses offering a 30% gamble. Everybody in the finance sector knows, that a Brexit would cause havoc on London.
What you say its true but the problem is that you forget the fact that the average citizen doesnt take decisions with his head, it only takes a terrorist attack or some major riot of immigrants coming in uk from from mainland europe and they will all vote to separate (as if that decision would stop the flow from calais).
 

Tamura

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What you say its true but the problem is that you forget the fact that the average citizen doesnt take decisions with his head, it only takes a terrorist attack or some major riot of immigrants coming in uk from from mainland europe and they will all vote to separate (as if that decision would stop the flow from calais).
That's off-topic. Thought you were asking how to profit financially from the obvious result.
 

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Who Dares Win

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That's off-topic. Thought you were asking how to profit financially from the obvious result.
It wasnt me asking, and there is no obvious result given the political situation which has all the chances to take over any economical evaluation of britain leaving the eu.

Is the economical evaluation the most probable factor to consider? absolutely, you're right in that and anyone in his sane mind would agree however we have many examples in history of events which lead to emotional backlash on the population and made them choose unreasonable path.
 
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