If you throw out enough predictions some of them will stick eventually and then it's just a matter of downplaying all the other times you were wrong. This dude is as reliable as rolling dice.
All based on mathematical models that regardless of what some say still apply to the crypto market.
Wyckoff distribution models showed the most likely scenario was that it crashed down to 27-28K support levels and then bled lower down to 22-24K levels...however there always was a chance based on what happened that it could have turned back to bullish...however the repeated rejections between 37-39K basically gave a foreboding warning that wasn't likely. At one point is should have broken through...it got rejected at least 10 times in it's attempts.
All long term indicators also were pointing downward as well...what is happening shouldn't be a shock to anyone who does any amount of reading or has any understanding of the patterns in play. It was the 75-80% likely scenario...like anything else tho, there wasn't 100% certainty but if you looked at the clues it started becoming more and more likely as the days went on and the clues added up and the inverted triangle narrowed around bitcoins volatility...that literally denotes the calm before the storm.