I guess I don't subscribe to the same exact negativity that espi has, but a lot of his points aren't incorrect either. How one views the nebulous wall street is their own prerogative, so I won't pass judgement on his viewpoints.
You cannot time the market. You can only rely on past economic assumptions--and/or insider trading.
I would also suspect a fair amount of insider trading occurs and puts the average investor at a disadvantage. And timing the market is impossible. I combat timing the market with dollar cost averaging into positions I own, and into my retirement accounts.
Most investment firms deduct 401(k) accounts with lots of hidden fees. A few years ago, a law was passed that required statements to be issued to investors. In my opinion it's done very little good. Have you read your statements recently? They are a biatch to read and understand--and that is EXACTLY how Wall Street intended it.
Yes, Wall street is aligned with commissions, not shareholder well being. Mutual funds, and even most hedge funds rely on these commissions to fund their lavish lifestyle with returns less than the broad market indices. However, the caveat here for retirement plans is that one does have a choice of funds to invest into...and this includes low cost index funds. This is where my retirement funds are, and they have made me a lot of money. Other co workers have retired millionaires just by contributing towards these index funds.
But yeah, many of the managed funds aren't worth it. If a fund charges 2-3% and underperforms the market, than you end up losing..
When stocks consistently make money, brokers say, "Buy more!" They say the same thing when stocks lose money: "Buy more!" LOL
This is why I generally ignore most participants of wall street and buy on my own accord. However, since this type is pervasive on wall st, one does need to be aware of the bias. The news media will always support buying/selling at a rapid pace. People almost always lose out in this type of trading, and the brokers make commissions either way.
Buffet started his partnership by getting investors early on. He returned their money and many multiples. Now, I realize he is the best and that the chance any of us can emulate him are nearly 0. But, to be successful, one does not need to be as successful as him. There are plenty of other examples of regular people who are able to make money in the market in an honorable fair fashion.
To speak to my personal experience, a lot of my money goes in an index fund via retirement. The other portion is my own equity holdings. The stocks I have sold overall have gotten me more money than I have lost. Some "gambling" plays have lost me money, but those are <1% of my total holdings (in the form of ETFs and ETNs...stay away from those).
If its one's goal to stay away from the markets, odds are you'll be better off. if its something you enjoy doing - the research, managing ones risk, keeping up with a company, it can be a decent way to make some money . I personally enjoy finding the smaller companies no one talks about, digging into the story, and slowly investing some of my free money into the business as if I was going to buy the business. I look for companies with strong balance sheets, a good product, and management with integrity. Now thats is no guarantee for success, but so far its worked out OK for me.
If one invests, do so at your own peril. Understand that what EPSI posted is pretty much true, but at the end of the day you have to look in the mirror and make the choices yourself.
Good luck