So what are we thinking with BTC... Could it still hit 100k or is that out of the question this year?
It's definitely possible. Will it happen? Who knows. Some see an extended cycle going into 2023 before hitting it's peak, others see it peaking by April or May.
Right now there are both bull and bear cases.
While the market has been going up lately and setting higher lows, it's also been setting lower highs and unable to break through a bearish trendline from the ATH.
The monthly MACD has crossed bearish for the first time in 19 months and coming down from highly overbought levels in the RSI and is looking at printing an "M" pattern, which is a double top(opposite is a "W"). The base of this "M" is around 12K. Will we get there? I dunno.
There is no reason a pattern "has to" complete, they just often do. On the lower timeframes like the weekly we appear to be in ascending Wedge formation, which is bullish.
Currently we seem to be stuck between the 32-46K range and just going up and down and creating different patterns inside that pattern.
Long-term, highly bullish. One day 100K will be looked at as cheap for BTC. Whether it's 3 years or 8 years or 20 years, that time is 100% coming.
Shorter term we might be bearish still until it can break through the channel we are in and bust out of the bearish trendline.