speed dawg said:
Unfortunately we have another 20 years or so before all the baby boomers die off. We will swing back towards the conservative side for a while, but then.....when all these millenials and hipster degenerates get in power, Good Lord we may see full blown socialism. Probably get a feminist president too, it won't be Sarah Palin as the first woman. See Obama, first black guy was the most liberal they could absolutely find.
Let's explore the above for a second, and maybe found a more optimistic outlook. We all say "baby boomers," and we all know they seem to trend more conservative. But who else are they? The people we call "baby boomers" were also the 60s Youth Movement, antiwar movement, hippies, deadheads and such. Yet they are now conservative? Do they really die out? or do people tend to become less statist as they mature, have children and want the best world for those children? The latter IMO. The folks we call gen X were born in the 70s or Reagan years. They are 40 now and IME trending away from leftism. So as the population ages and life expectancy extends, if I'm right, isn't that a good thing for the nonleft?
Turning to the status quo Complex voting blocs. Well you have govt employees at all levels, education at all levels, unions, govt contractors, govt grantees, trial lawyers and media. This is the "top end" of leftist voting blocs. Change is happening here. Govt employment is decreasing.
As education costs spiral STEM/trades are looking better and resentment studies, socialist sciences, humarxities that peaked in the 90s? well mom and dad don't really want to pay $200k for your women's studies castration festivals and low job prospects any more. It was fine in the 80s-90s when college cost 50k, but now? "Get that f-ing Mao hat off and go to your 8AM biology lab or you are coming home to junior college, missy!" As education prices go upupup, my theory is that tolerance for campus socialist studies and such is going downdowndown among alumni and others trying to get VALUE for tuition dollars where their kids are concerned, not the ability to identify bourgeoisie oil imperialist colonialism behind every bush. In the days of 50k a year tuition, the days of floating about in a hazy utopian Marx womb may be trending down, way down. We HEAR about more excesses on campus, but that's a GOOD thing. They occurred prior, but it was all under cover of a prenet fog of war. Drag that sht into the light as the net is doing, give young people a different POV they NEVER HAD for half a century in the edu-msm leftist stranglehold, and could the Young Republicans suddenly become the "cool" group? Who knows? but change is happening there if slowly.
Unions? Membership is downdowndown and going downer, yay! Citizens are beginning to see through the union label horsesht they've been sold for 50 years (again the net is helping there), and are coming to resent their property taxes paying for bloated pensions that are demonstrably better than their own private sector 401ks. Change, again, if slow, it's still change.
Contractors. This group is a problem. Government contracting has exploded at all levels and has been for 40 years. I don't know enough to know whether trending up, down or sideways, but it's a huge problem. Again, the net is shining light on abuses here with tales of contractors selling $3 plastic forks to govt and the like. Wild card.
Grantees. Another problem. This ties in with academia, and grant culture is perhaps the most pernicious area of the Complex because it has the air of academic credibility and "science" to hide its true nature. Little change likely here. We will hear shtty Piketty Poo wealth resentment from the grantee-edu complex forever. It's their bread and butter. Are people smart enough to see through the BS to the obvious conflicts of interest in climate change, wealth disparity and all the other hackademic nonsense peddled as "scientific/economic fact?" Remains to be seen.
Trial lawyers. Another large problem with little change on the horizon. Big money, big contributors to the Complex.
Media. Some ray of hope here. The media is driven by money, even Hollywood. As feelz/perversion movies descend further into suckage and box office malaise while American Sniper sells out, as feely PC network shows get creamed by Duck Dynasty, as Fox News continues to whup its competition, some change is possible here. The media went left because of money, and can shift subtly back to center due to money in an age where the internet may make their pink sensibilities too expensive to maintain.
So there's the high end of the Complex. Rays of hope in govt employment, educational move to STEM and away from nonsense in a higher cost environment, union decline and media. I'll take it.
Turning to the low end prole side of the left we have feminism (a crossover between high and low end), minorities who see the world as entirely a function of race and oppression (who could blame them? their $700 60" television with 300 channels told them they were oppressed so it must be true!), youth, government dependents of all shapes, sizes ages and races.
Feminism peaked in the 90s with the satanic ritual abuse, repressed memory scams and Murphy Brown. We HEAR more today, giving the illusion it is peaking now, but again, that we hear ANYTHING is a good sign of its decline. Feminism, like all leftism, works best in dark caves. Go on youtube and enter "feminism" and you will find HUNDREDS of angry women and men not liking feminism one bit. We had nothing like that for the first 50 years of feminism, no opposition whatsoever, mainstream or otherwise. The next 50 years of feminism, in an environment where women are beginning to see the disastrous social results of it, especially on their male children, may be a very bumpy ride. There is light here, and if only 5% of the 65-70% leftist skew in young women shifts, that's HORRENDOUS for the left. Roe v Wade isn't going away, more women resent taxes, more are becoming antifeminist and don't want their daughters involved in it.
Race. The net and alternative media are starting to present alternative black leaders who aren't glorified street preacher slime. Ben Carson won't be the president, but he offers a stunning counterpoint to hustlers like Al Sharpton. Who do you see as a leader, who do you want your kid to be like, Al or Ben? No brainer. Somewhat similar with Hispanics and Asians. The left will have those majorities for a LONG time, but if those majorities decline to say 65-70%, absolute disaster for the left.
Youth, dealt with in edu above. There's some hope here. For the first time in 50+ years, the net is giving alternatives to the hoary old Marxist in the resentment studies class. Young people can see that OWS is a union label lie, and their wallets are bearing that out. Again, doesn't take a big decline from the high current skew, 5% or so, disaster for the left.
Long enough. I'm more optimistic. The fact that we HEAR more today makes me so. Don't burst my bubble, if my optimism on several fronts is illusory, please allow a middle aged man his fantasies.
Said (or believed) no one ever besides self hating white leftoids